vixticator and I occasionally like to do a “dueling mock” draft where we alternate picks. We think it gives us a more accurate picture of how we actually value players, since its’ easy to have some psychological bias to “let” players try to fall to a particular position or team when doing a mock by yourself. With […]
With the hangover from an intense Super Bowl winding down at last, it’s time to turn our attention back to the draft. Going into the next round of research and film study, not to mention the Scouting Combine at the end of the month, this is where we’re at for our top 100 prospects.
If you’re looking for more reading material on before today’s game, I’ve written up a short Super Bowl preview for Houstonia magazine. It’s not as in-depth as some of the analysis we’ve done here (or as other outlets have done in preparation for the game), but it’ll give you a little something more to think […]
It’s draft season, and after the Senior Bowl has solidified our perspective on certain prospects, I thought it was time to write up a mock. This mock will be based roughly on my board, and roughly what I think teams ought to do, which is different than what I think they will do.
While we prize film study above all when evaluating prospects, we also try to incorporate analytics and metrics into our process. Any information we think we can obtain that actually correlates with determining whether a prospect will succeed or fail in the NFL is good information.
(See parts one, two, and three.) I already covered the SEC and Pac-12 in two earlier posts. Now I intend to review the receivers drafted from the other four major conferences since 2000 in detail (the data is in part three), and see if we can find any patterns here. (Stats are through week 6 of 2016, […]
(See part one and part two.) Upon reviewing all the data across the major conferences, I decided the only way I could trust my evaluations of success or failure was to set an objective standard. Like I mentioned last time, I’m using PFR’s “Approximate Value” stat to compare– comparing the expected AV of a draft […]
In Part 1 of this study, I looked at Pac-12 receivers drafted in the first three rounds since 2000 and concluded their hit rate was astonishingly low. However, such a conclusion must be verified, and so I decided to compare the Pac-12’s hit rate with that of the other conferences.
Is it too early in the season to talk about firing coaches? Well, it’s already on my mind, and there are some coaches who clearly are already feeling the heat, so let’s jump right in.
I’ve heard a lot of chatter about the “USC receiver curse” in recent years. how highly-regarded receivers from the school have struggled at the NFL level. With Nelson Agholor being talked about as though he was struggling to adapt, and JuJu Smith-Schuster potentially a high draft selection next year, I decided to do a little research […]