It’s draft season, and after the Senior Bowl has solidified our perspective on certain prospects, I thought it was time to write up a mock. This mock will be based roughly on my board, and roughly what I think teams ought to do, which is different than what I think they will do.
While we prize film study above all when evaluating prospects, we also try to incorporate analytics and metrics into our process. Any information we think we can obtain that actually correlates with determining whether a prospect will succeed or fail in the NFL is good information.
(See parts one, two, and three.) I already covered the SEC and Pac-12 in two earlier posts. Now I intend to review the receivers drafted from the other four major conferences since 2000 in detail (the data is in part three), and see if we can find any patterns here. (Stats are through week 6 of 2016, […]
(See part one and part two.) Upon reviewing all the data across the major conferences, I decided the only way I could trust my evaluations of success or failure was to set an objective standard. Like I mentioned last time, I’m using PFR’s “Approximate Value” stat to compare– comparing the expected AV of a draft […]
In Part 1 of this study, I looked at Pac-12 receivers drafted in the first three rounds since 2000 and concluded their hit rate was astonishingly low. However, such a conclusion must be verified, and so I decided to compare the Pac-12’s hit rate with that of the other conferences.
Is it too early in the season to talk about firing coaches? Well, it’s already on my mind, and there are some coaches who clearly are already feeling the heat, so let’s jump right in.
I’ve heard a lot of chatter about the “USC receiver curse” in recent years. how highly-regarded receivers from the school have struggled at the NFL level. With Nelson Agholor being talked about as though he was struggling to adapt, and JuJu Smith-Schuster potentially a high draft selection next year, I decided to do a little research […]
First, some good news: We should returning to zonereads.com shortly; I’ve been a little delayed by this whole “attempting to make a living” thing, but I should be importing the site back over soon. I’m also planning to get back to more regular content; it’s certainly not like I lack for thoughts about the NFL, but I […]
[ Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 | Part 4 ] At the end of part 3, I said I’d attempt to address why teams don’t examine their processes more closely, why they don’t try to refine or improve them. I think the answer comes down to how decisions are made in the NFL. I […]
[ Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 | Part 4 ] I’ve made notes throughout the first few parts of this mega-post regarding players who fell in the draft despite their obvious talent, notes that said I would address in part 3. Well, I apologize. Part 3 ran over 4500 words, so I broke it into two parts […]