(See part one and part two.) Upon reviewing all the data across the major conferences, I decided the only way I could trust my evaluations of success or failure was to set an objective standard. Like I mentioned last time, I’m using PFR’s “Approximate Value” stat to compare– comparing the expected AV of a draft […]
Category: Off-Season
Wide Receiver Prospects, Part 2: What About the Other Conferences?
In Part 1 of this study, I looked at Pac-12 receivers drafted in the first three rounds since 2000 and concluded their hit rate was astonishingly low. However, such a conclusion must be verified, and so I decided to compare the Pac-12’s hit rate with that of the other conferences.
Wide Receiver Prospects, Part 1: Is there a “USC Curse”?
I’ve heard a lot of chatter about the “USC receiver curse” in recent years. how highly-regarded receivers from the school have struggled at the NFL level. With Nelson Agholor being talked about as though he was struggling to adapt, and JuJu Smith-Schuster potentially a high draft selection next year, I decided to do a little research […]
Draft Thoughts Part 4 of 4: Winning Is Not The Incentive
[ Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 | Part 4 ] At the end of part 3, I said I’d attempt to address why teams don’t examine their processes more closely, why they don’t try to refine or improve them. I think the answer comes down to how decisions are made in the NFL. I […]
Draft Thoughts Part 3 of 4: These Are Not The Traits You’re Looking For
[ Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 | Part 4 ] I’ve made notes throughout the first few parts of this mega-post regarding players who fell in the draft despite their obvious talent, notes that said I would address in part 3. Well, I apologize. Part 3 ran over 4500 words, so I broke it into two parts […]
Draft Thoughts Part 2 of 4: On the Cleveland Browns and Analytics
[ Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 | Part 4 ] I was quite excited for what the Cleveland Browns might do in this year’s draft. I watched a lot more baseball in the 1990s and 2000s, and was well aware of (and paid close attention to) Billy Beane’s work with the Oakland A’s. […]
Draft Thoughts Part 1 of 4: A Handful of Team Observations
[ Part 1 | Part 2 | Part 3 | Part 4 ] So it turns out I have a lot more to say about this year’s NFL Draft than I thought I did. In my first draft of this article, this was my opening paragraph: When enough is said before the draft– and I’ve been saying […]
The worst owner in the NFL
Owners of professional sports teams have a lot of responsibility when it comes to the success of their franchise. They are the ones putting up massive sums of money in an attempt to generate profit, but they also control the direction of personnel hirings. Much can be said about terrible owners in other sports, such […]
Draft Review of the New Orleans Saints in the Payton-Loomis era, 2006-2014
With the Saints struggling to the finish line in a dismal 2015, and the impending end of the Drew Brees era, I thought about going back and looking at how the team got to this point, what went wrong, and what they could have done differently (and can do differently in the future). I decided […]
2014 Re-Draft Mock
If you saw the 2013 draft that ran a few days ago, you’ll know how this works. This mock isn’t necessarily tied to that one. It operates on the same rules, though. One thing you’ll find different is that, since we are only into the second year of these players’ careers, I had less hard […]
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